The 16 cases detected are all local and the appearance of new strains is expected due to the mutation of the virus.

A scientist in an R&D laboratory.

Every day new information about Covid-19 is known, despite having been with us for more than a year. One of the issues that most worries experts and the public is the appearance of new variants.

In Andalusia, specifically, six coexist, although the predominant one is the British with a 90% penetration in the community. In addition to the original and this second, there are that of Ghana, the South African, that of Uganda, located a month ago, and a last one, which is known by its numbering B1258. She does not have a name yet, but it is already known about her that It comes from Central European countries and is more contagious than others.

In conversation with EL ESPAÑOL, Nicola Lorusso, epidemiologist, technical advisor to the General Directorate of Public Health of the Junta de Andalucía and member of the expert committee, ensures that the 16 cases detected are all local. However, at the moment, it does not seem the most important of the six partners.

None of these people have been infected in any Central European country, there is no evidence that they come or have made any trip. Specifically, this strain has had a very important expansion in this part of the continent, especially in the Czech Republic and Slovakia.

Cases have been detected in the provinces of Almería, Córdoba and Málaga of this new variant, which has already been declared to the National Center for Microbiology and information has been sent to the European Union for classification.

An increase in cases

As the epidemiologist explains, it presents mutations that are similar to the British one, to which the increase in transmission is attributed. In fact, pending the end of the sequencing of this new strain, some of the cases that are identified by screening as British could be from B1258.

Therefore, he suspects that in the coming weeks there will be more cases, it will be necessary to continue vigilance and enhance the sequencing tasks to know the origin of the new positives that are detected. “The latter is the great achievement of Andalusia”, says Lorusso, because more variants are expected.

Nicola Lorusso, coordinator of the Andalusian epidemiological surveillance system and epidemiologist of the Costa del Sol district.

Nicola Lorusso, coordinator of the Andalusian epidemiological surveillance system and epidemiologist of the Costa del Sol district.
Fernando Russian

Precisely, last week the first imported case from the Brazilian in Andalusia, specifically in Seville. From the south african eleven have been confirmed, seven imported and four due to contagion between them, and the one from Uganda there are four others, with one deceased and the rest in recovery without sequelae.

The fourth wave

According to the latest count, Andalusia has registered a total of 1,207 positives and three deaths in the last day, after several days exceeding 2,000. This has caused the cumulative incidence rate to chain up 13 days and stand at 225.3 per 100,000 inhabitants in the last 14 days, 23.5 points more in two days and 69.9 above the rate of 155.4 last monday.

Faced with this situation, the Minister of Health and Families, Jesus Aguirre, has warned that the region is in a “high risk” situation. Therefore, it augurs two months “very complicated” and that are crucial to try to save as many Andalusians as possible and to reduce infections.

For his part, the epidemiologist assures that the plateau or stability phase of recent weeks has ended without contagions having yet emerged during the festive period of Holy Week. “We are now in a period with an upward trend“, Says Lorusso, and with the healthcare pressure in the hospitals, one cannot be optimistic. However, trust that this fourth wave does not develop with the intensity of the third.

In the last day, 1,473 people are hospitalized for coronavirus in the region, 80 more than the day before, 297 of them are in ICU with the peculiarity that they are increasingly younger patients due to the advance of vaccination in the older population.